"我们在这里称之为黑天鹅的事件具有以下三个特征 稀有性 极端影响力和事后可预测性"
“The lack of data is a major source of uncertainty, not lack of theory”
“The problem with information is not that it is exploited legally or illegally, but that it...”
“Decision-makers learn best from adverse outcomes, not when things go smoothly”
“Success is about avoiding systemic mistakes, not failing better than average”
“You have to work hard in the dark to shine in the light.”
“Be where your enemy is not.”
“We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful”
“Sometimes by losing a battle you find a new way to win the war”
“I put my heart & soul into my work, & have lost my mind in the process.”
“An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last.”
“I can choose either to be a victim of the world or an adventurer in search of treasure. It...”
“Whatever the problem, be part of the solution. Don't just sit around raising questions and...”
“All of my best decisions in business and in life have been made with heart, intuition, gut...”
“I’m not arrogant enough to look back on my career and criticize my choices It’s really...”