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"証拠の不在は不在の証拠ではない。"

Carl Sagan
Carl Sagan Astronomer
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Quote meaning
Alright, let’s dive into it. This quote essentially means that just because we don’t currently have proof of something doesn’t mean that the thing doesn’t exist or hasn’t happened. It’s a reminder to keep an open mind and not jump to conclusions based solely on the lack of evidence.

Picture this: It’s the early 1900s, and scientists are debating the existence of germs. People could see the symptoms of diseases, but without the right tools, they couldn’t see the tiny organisms causing them. Some argued germs didn’t exist because they couldn’t be seen. But, as we know now, germs are very real—our inability to see them back then didn’t mean they weren’t there.

Think about the search for extraterrestrial life. We haven’t found definitive proof of aliens yet. Does that mean we’re alone in the universe? Not necessarily. Space is vast, and our tools for exploring it are still pretty limited. Just because we haven’t found them doesn’t mean they’re not out there. It’s possible we just haven’t looked in the right place or used the right methods yet.

Here’s a concrete example: Imagine you’ve lost your keys. You’ve looked in all the usual spots—your bag, the kitchen counter, your coat pockets—but you can’t find them. Just because you don’t see them in those places doesn’t mean they’re gone forever. Maybe they’ve slipped between the couch cushions or fallen under the car seat. The absence of evidence (not seeing the keys) isn’t proof that they’re absent (completely lost).

So, how can you apply this idea in your daily life? Simple: don’t rush to judgment. Keep an open mind and consider all possibilities. If you’re working on a project and can’t find any evidence that your approach will work, it doesn’t necessarily mean it’s doomed to fail. Maybe you just need more research or a different perspective.

Here’s a relatable story: Imagine you’re baking a cake for the first time. You’ve followed the recipe to the letter, but the cake isn’t rising. You might think, “Well, this recipe is trash!” But wait. Just because your first attempt didn’t work doesn’t mean the recipe’s bad. Maybe your oven temperature is off, or you mismeasured an ingredient. The absence of a perfect cake doesn’t mean it’s impossible to bake one. With a bit more effort and a few adjustments, you might nail it on the second try.

In life, it’s easy to fall into the trap of thinking that if we don’t see something, it doesn’t exist. But that’s a limited view. Whether you’re searching for solutions to a problem, trying to understand a new concept, or even looking for your lost keys, remember: just because you don’t have the evidence right now doesn’t mean the answer isn’t out there. Keep looking, stay curious, and don’t let the absence of evidence fool you into thinking you’ve reached a dead end.
Related tags
Argumentation Belief Critical thinking Epistemology Evidence Logic Philosophy Reasoning Skepticism Uncertainty
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