"It is not the estimate you…" — Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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No es la estimación que haces lo que importa sino el error que cometes al pensar siquiera que puedes estimar

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Translations

“When you depart from standard probability, you completely lose track of its limits”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in light of the informatio...”

“It is easier to macrobullshit than to microbullshit”

“The lack of data is a major source of uncertainty, not lack of theory”

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